The Replaceability Index

Scale + lower exposure: Job Rankings

Compare AI task exposure across occupations, alongside pay and projected growth. 128 occupations in this view. The score is a relative index of task exposure from 0 to 100. It is not a percentage chance of losing a job or a forecast of layoffs. Individual tasks, employer choices, adoption, and regulation all matter.

Occupation data. Exposure is an index out of 100, not a probability.
OccupationExposure /100Median annual wageStored growth projectionEmployment
Nurse Practitioners2$129,210+40.1%385,000
Computer and Information Systems Managers12$169,510+15.4%582,300
Medical and Health Services Managers6$110,680+28.4%563,700
Physician Assistants2$133,260+20.4%153,200
Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary6$128,170+16%291,800
Construction Managers3$106,980+8.7%523,100
Physical Therapists2$101,020+10.9%274,790
Occupational Therapists2$98,340+13.8%135,400
Speech-Language Pathologists9$95,410+15%177,500
Financial Managers28$156,100+16.8%781,600
Information Security Analysts18$120,360+33%188,100
Mental Health Counselors2$53,710+22%348,100
Physicians, All Other4$229,300+3%392,200
Chief Executives4$213,550+3%210,340
Medical Scientists12$100,890+10%152,200
Registered Nurses6$93,600+4.9%3,290,900
Dentists, General2$172,790+4.1%157,100
Family Medicine Physicians2$224,460+3%122,060
Respiratory Therapists12$77,960+13%137,800
General and Operations Managers16$101,280+5%3,281,100
Human Resources Managers14$136,350+6%198,600
Architectural and Engineering Managers8$165,370+3%201,700
Lawyers22$145,760+5.6%827,100
Social and Community Service Managers8$77,030+9%207,100
Marketing Managers24$161,030+6.6%384,980
Sales Managers18$135,160+4%469,800
Industrial Engineers30$99,380+12%314,700
Industrial Machinery Mechanics22$62,090+15%419,700
Education Administrators, Postsecondary8$102,610+4%196,600
Massage Therapists6$55,310+18%120,600
Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors4$53,710+18%115,200
Project Management Specialists22$98,580+7%1,018,400
Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers22$105,580+8%164,500
Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors6$46,480+14%382,600
Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary6$103,460+1%301,200
Civil Engineers18$97,380+5%328,200
First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives8$100,420+3%135,600
Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers8$74,910+3%665,300
Electricians12$65,280+6%739,200
Physical Therapist Assistants18$64,080+14%102,300
Facilities Managers18$104,900+5%161,800
First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers12$77,650+4%774,300
Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers4$55,960+11%146,800
Dental Hygienists18$87,530+7%211,470
Flight Attendants12$68,370+10%136,700
Healthcare Social Workers6$62,940+7%198,200
Elementary School Teachers2$63,670+1%1,510,800
Secondary School Teachers4$65,220+1%1,099,800
Heating, AC, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers14$57,670+9%406,900
Coaches and Scouts8$46,760+12%315,200
Electrical Engineers22$110,950+3%192,700
Mechanical Engineers18$99,510+2%284,900
Producers and Directors18$86,140+5%152,000
Home Health and Personal Care Aides6$33,530+20%3,832,300
Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters14$63,700+5%511,900
First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers14$77,380+2%555,200
Detectives and Criminal Investigators12$95,500+3%121,100
Architects, Except Landscape and Naval18$96,640+5%123,700
Art, Drama, and Music Teachers, Postsecondary6$76,870+4%110,100
Middle School Teachers4$63,670+1%684,300
Personal Care Aides6$33,530+20%2,950,700
Industrial Production Managers22$115,480+1%210,910
Training and Development Specialists18$64,340+6%380,400
Engineers, All Other24$105,010+3%194,600
Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors8$61,710+4%332,100
Child, Family, and School Social Workers4$53,940+5%379,900
Art Directors26$105,680+5%109,200
Food Service Managers18$63,060+6%406,200
Firefighters4$57,120+4%330,800
Administrative Services and Facilities Managers28$104,900+5%161,800
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School2$63,670+2%193,500
Self-Enrichment Teachers12$46,480+11%341,700
Home Health Aides6$33,530+20%881,600
Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers12$86,440+3%125,700
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers24$90,880+3%289,300
Electronics Engineers, Except Computer22$113,580+2%122,800
Special Education Teachers, Secondary School4$65,220+2%152,100
Licensed Practical Nurses12$59,730+3%683,400
Occupational Health and Safety Specialists22$81,140+5%122,300
Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary8$61,120+4%148,200
Kindergarten Teachers2$63,670+1%156,200
Special Education Teachers, Middle School2$63,670+2%100,300
Veterinary Technologists and Technicians18$43,740+15%123,500
Chefs and Head Cooks12$58,920+6%163,000
Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians18$72,700+5%155,800
Instructional Coordinators18$74,620+2%213,400
Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics18$62,190+5%167,500
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation Workers22$61,730+5%281,000
Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School8$65,220+1%147,300
Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners22$56,920+8%156,300
First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers14$56,500+5%166,600
Carpenters18$56,350+3%790,000
Animal Caretakers12$32,810+14%294,500
Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers28$62,850+5%439,500
Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists22$56,850+5%278,800
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers22$41,460+8%1,273,700
First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers22$46,160+8%301,800
Sheet Metal Workers22$58,280+5%142,100
Personal Service Managers22$45,600+8%301,800
Social and Human Service Assistants18$39,860+8%450,800
Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal Caretakers18$34,980+15%111,600
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists8$35,870+5%699,800
Preschool Teachers4$37,750+3%512,150
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers22$51,650+5%175,900
Military Enlisted Tactical Operations and Air/Weapons Specialists and Crew Members, All Other12$45,000+3%285,000
Emergency Medical Technicians12$40,030+5%270,200
First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers22$47,220+5%252,500
Construction Laborers28$44,190+5%1,296,100
Nursing Assistants18$38,200+4%1,521,700
Recreation Workers14$33,640+7%444,200
Teachers and Instructors, All Other12$44,020+3%159,400
Roofers22$48,290+5%149,900
Rehabilitation Counselors8$42,280+3%130,600
Tutors14$39,050+5%195,900
Automotive Body and Related Repairers22$50,890+3%148,300
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers, All Other28$49,530+5%157,800
Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators28$53,390+5%119,600
Substitute Teachers12$36,400+3%576,500
Childcare Workers6$30,370+3%544,800
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers22$46,310+0%1,242,600
Manicurists and Pedicurists14$33,650+8%156,400
Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers28$37,750+5%1,165,400
Teaching Assistants, Postsecondary22$38,600+5%167,500
Teaching Assistants, Except Postsecondary18$33,680+3%1,356,200
Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers8$28,860+5%159,700
Painters, Construction and Maintenance28$46,080+3%261,300
Highway Maintenance Workers28$46,130+3%147,200
Personal Care and Service Workers, All Other22$35,600+5%104,800

Sources and methodology

The score is a relative index of task exposure from 0 to 100. It is not a percentage chance of losing a job or a forecast of layoffs. Individual tasks, employer choices, adoption, and regulation all matter.

The Index uses stored BLS-based occupation data. O*NET, OECD capability indicators, and task-exposure research are contextual references. The derivation of the stored occupation scores is not reproducibly documented in the published dataset.

The source snapshot does not record the wage-survey year or employment-projection window. Check the original BLS release before treating these figures as current. Editorial changes and export dates do not establish data freshness.

Read the methodology and limitations