The Replaceability Index

Transportation & Material Moving: AI Replaceability Across 47 Occupations

Compare AI task exposure across occupations, alongside pay and projected growth. 47 occupations in this view. The score is a relative index of task exposure from 0 to 100. It is not a percentage chance of losing a job or a forecast of layoffs. Individual tasks, employer choices, adoption, and regulation all matter.

Occupation data. Exposure is an index out of 100, not a probability.
OccupationExposure /100Median annual wageStored growth projectionEmployment
Flight Attendants12$68,370+10%136,700
Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors18$56,480+3%9,200
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation Workers22$61,730+5%281,000
Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels22$88,180+3%33,300
Ship Engineers22$82,550+3%9,100
Sailors and Marine Oilers28$49,630+3%26,900
Motorboat Operators28$45,740+3%3,900
Transportation Inspectors28$77,390+3%28,700
Commercial Pilots32$113,080+6%44,300
Crane and Tower Operators32$63,970+3%56,900
Transportation Workers, All Other38$42,820+5%30,900
Dredge Operators38$53,080+3%2,500
Hoist and Winch Operators38$54,630+3%4,400
Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians42$33,990+5%23,700
Traffic Technicians42$51,890+3%5,600
Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators42$53,590+3%63,000
Gas Compressor and Gas Pumping Station Operators42$64,680+3%3,900
Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers42$52,470+3%8,900
Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors42$44,340+5%147,800
Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters48$75,510-3%41,200
Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment48$32,330+5%322,700
Wellhead Pumpers48$51,580-5%9,100
Light Truck Drivers52$40,410+12%1,028,100
Automotive and Watercraft Service Attendants52$33,420+8%108,100
Bus Drivers, School52$41,530+3%450,700
Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders52$52,650+3%9,800
Material Moving Workers, All Other52$37,480+3%28,200
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers58$54,320+4%2,038,600
Driver/Sales Workers58$36,170+3%434,800
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity58$52,950+3%176,900
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers62$36,500+4%2,696,500
Locomotive Engineers62$78,620-5%37,000
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators62$42,360+1%824,800
Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers62$56,200-5%4,100
Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers62$74,530-5%14,200
Subway and Streetcar Operators62$79,230+3%8,700
Bridge and Lock Tenders62$55,690+3%2,300
Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers65$226,600+3.9%97,700
Stockers and Order Fillers68$34,680+0%2,186,500
Locomotive Firers68$74,930-5%1,100
Railroad Signal and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers68$74,930-5%5,800
Passenger Vehicle Drivers, Except Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity72$36,480+12%368,300
Conveyor Operators and Tenders72$39,260+3%34,400
Packers and Packagers, Hand72$32,670+3%561,400
Taxi Drivers78$36,480+12%368,300
Parking Attendants78$31,500+3%149,800
Machine Feeders and Offbearers78$36,860-5%41,300

Sources and methodology

The score is a relative index of task exposure from 0 to 100. It is not a percentage chance of losing a job or a forecast of layoffs. Individual tasks, employer choices, adoption, and regulation all matter.

The Index uses stored BLS-based occupation data. O*NET, OECD capability indicators, and task-exposure research are contextual references. The derivation of the stored occupation scores is not reproducibly documented in the published dataset.

The source snapshot does not record the wage-survey year or employment-projection window. Check the original BLS release before treating these figures as current. Editorial changes and export dates do not establish data freshness.

Read the methodology and limitations