The Replaceability Index

Protective Service: AI Replaceability Across 18 Occupations

Compare AI task exposure across occupations, alongside pay and projected growth. 18 occupations in this view. The score is a relative index of task exposure from 0 to 100. It is not a percentage chance of losing a job or a forecast of layoffs. Individual tasks, employer choices, adoption, and regulation all matter.

Occupation data. Exposure is an index out of 100, not a probability.
OccupationExposure /100Median annual wageStored growth projectionEmployment
Firefighters4$57,120+4%330,800
First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers6$82,010+4%69,200
First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives8$100,420+3%135,600
Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers8$74,910+3%665,300
Fish and Game Wardens8$60,780+3%5,700
Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers8$28,860+5%159,700
Detectives and Criminal Investigators12$95,500+3%121,100
First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers12$72,090+3%50,200
Transit and Railroad Police12$66,830+3%4,800
Fire Inspectors and Investigators18$68,100+4%15,900
Bailiffs18$50,770+0%17,000
Correctional Officers and Jailers22$49,610-6%392,900
Private Detectives and Investigators28$52,120+6%35,800
Protective Service Workers, All Other28$40,310+5%73,200
Gambling Surveillance Officers and Gambling Investigators42$39,680+3%8,000
Crossing Guards and Flaggers42$36,070+3%112,800
Security Guards62$36,680+5%1,163,200
Parking Enforcement Workers62$48,190+3%11,600

Sources and methodology

The score is a relative index of task exposure from 0 to 100. It is not a percentage chance of losing a job or a forecast of layoffs. Individual tasks, employer choices, adoption, and regulation all matter.

The Index uses stored BLS-based occupation data. O*NET, OECD capability indicators, and task-exposure research are contextual references. The derivation of the stored occupation scores is not reproducibly documented in the published dataset.

The source snapshot does not record the wage-survey year or employment-projection window. Check the original BLS release before treating these figures as current. Editorial changes and export dates do not establish data freshness.

Read the methodology and limitations