The Replaceability Index

Personal Care & Service: AI Replaceability Across 28 Occupations

Compare AI task exposure across occupations, alongside pay and projected growth. 28 occupations in this view. The score is a relative index of task exposure from 0 to 100. It is not a percentage chance of losing a job or a forecast of layoffs. Individual tasks, employer choices, adoption, and regulation all matter.

Occupation data. Exposure is an index out of 100, not a probability.
OccupationExposure /100Median annual wageStored growth projectionEmployment
Childcare Workers6$30,370+3%544,800
Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors6$46,480+14%382,600
Personal Care Aides6$33,530+20%2,950,700
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists8$35,870+5%699,800
Barbers8$37,920+5%87,700
Morticians, Undertakers, and Funeral Arrangers8$57,300+3%23,500
Animal Trainers8$37,990+14%58,200
Embalmers8$52,950+3%6,400
Residential Advisors8$35,480+3%60,000
Skincare Specialists10$41,240+12%82,200
Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance10$64,420+8%4,600
Animal Caretakers12$32,810+14%294,500
Recreation Workers14$33,640+7%444,200
First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers14$48,160+8%34,900
Manicurists and Pedicurists14$33,650+8%156,400
Travel Guides18$37,160+8%36,200
Shampooers18$29,020+3%12,700
Tour Guides and Escorts18$35,600+8%49,200
First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers22$46,160+8%301,800
Personal Care and Service Workers, All Other22$35,600+5%104,800
Concierges28$38,330+8%35,400
Baggage Porters and Bellhops38$33,740+5%17,300
Amusement and Recreation Attendants42$29,520+9%359,100
Gambling Service Workers, All Other48$31,740+3%5,600
Gambling Dealers52$29,080+5%81,900
Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers58$28,640+5%167,500
Locker Room, Coatroom, and Dressing Room Attendants58$31,600+5%16,100
Gambling and Sports Book Writers and Runners62$28,850+3%13,300

Sources and methodology

The score is a relative index of task exposure from 0 to 100. It is not a percentage chance of losing a job or a forecast of layoffs. Individual tasks, employer choices, adoption, and regulation all matter.

The Index uses stored BLS-based occupation data. O*NET, OECD capability indicators, and task-exposure research are contextual references. The derivation of the stored occupation scores is not reproducibly documented in the published dataset.

The source snapshot does not record the wage-survey year or employment-projection window. Check the original BLS release before treating these figures as current. Editorial changes and export dates do not establish data freshness.

Read the methodology and limitations